Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 14.454817 16.286888 18.277988 20.605215 23.253988 26.178698 29.658049
2025-03-09 11.604455 13.999383 16.798274 20.320757 24.649676 29.813878 36.468368
2025-03-16 9.538262 12.218894 15.559281 20.050187 25.964503 33.534632 44.034063
2025-03-23 8.276611 11.202835 15.071239 20.601315 28.372389 39.004595 54.826471
2025-03-30 7.081535 10.073433 14.246178 20.555589 29.968080 43.668847 65.449973
2025-04-06 5.996481 8.920542 13.201070 20.013267 30.749750 47.300342 75.289013
2025-04-13 5.172272 8.017493 12.372817 19.641378 31.701059 51.323604 86.514357
2025-04-20 4.684059 7.551659 12.133202 20.138156 34.099408 58.049407 103.563706
2025-04-27 4.292043 7.178936 11.980537 20.741845 36.765609 65.682141 123.799596
2025-05-04 3.900887 6.749348 11.666193 21.006598 38.864871 72.664585 144.300057
2025-05-11 3.466863 6.184167 11.034600 20.592406 39.622773 77.253376 161.027036
2025-05-18 3.101762 5.693372 10.467600 20.206340 40.358496 81.909509 178.889868
2025-05-25 2.787915 5.265611 9.976463 19.926559 41.334740 87.395281 200.239246
2025-06-01 2.542094 4.936499 9.631293 19.891592 42.830890 94.309783 226.669805
2025-06-08 2.320601 4.626809 9.283173 19.797185 44.187506 101.198754 254.841672
2025-06-15 2.195464 4.496864 9.285153 20.466543 47.414426 113.130181 299.172303
2025-06-22 2.029511 4.259763 9.028416 20.510991 49.171411 121.849532 337.233844
2025-06-29 1.841786 3.952241 8.577953 20.032385 49.554578 127.159862 367.099014
2025-07-06 1.686922 3.698216 8.213721 19.703844 50.260906 133.473331 401.741060
2025-07-13 1.605578 3.600773 8.196073 20.234390 53.344380 147.007542 462.990561
2025-07-20 1.536663 3.523585 8.215808 20.864803 56.829609 162.487105 535.474522
2025-07-27 1.453034 3.401191 8.110228 21.148319 59.392694 175.820555 604.894455
2025-08-03 1.340331 3.194842 7.770578 20.743041 59.863932 182.809248 653.753833